Mahomes’ Late Drive Lead Chiefs to Capture Super Bowl, First Since 1970

Sounds good doesn’t it? As this article is published BEFORE the game, let’s take a look at what could happen.

Line: KC – 1 SF Over/ under 54 ½

So the bettors and Vegas have been holding the line and the over/ under here for about two weeks. Personally after watching the Championship games, I thought the Niners would be favored as my impression was that SF was the better team. The way they ran the ball and played run defense against the Packers, and the week before against the Vikings was dominating. It’s said that Defense wins championships and the Niners allow less than 20 points per game.

Starting with the (15-3) SF 49ers, they are the most improved team in the NFL by far. With an injured Jimmy Garoppolo, they slunked to a (4-12) record last year. Now, after winning the NFC West, this year’s top seed in the NFC has evolved into a “run and stop the run” team. Against GB, they held the Pack to just 62 rushing yards and ran for 285 yards, winning 37-20. Slippin’ Jimmy G. only passed for 77 yards on 8 attempts. The week prior, SF held the Vikes to 7 first downs and 21 yards rushing while clobbering Minnesota 27-10. Again, Jimmy only was tasked to not screw up. The Niners held the ball almost 40 minutes while rushing for 186 yards.

Will Mattress Mac be right, he unloaded with a $1 Million bet in Vegas on SF at +120?

It appears that making a case for SF would be easy, however, although Raheem Mostert (220 yards, 4 TDs vs. GB) and George Kittle are bonafide stars in the making, KC has the not-so-secret weapon, Patrick Mahomes at QB.

Mahomes is a playmaker first, with arm strength and talent, and creative decision making at highest level of the NFL. The intangibles and enthusiastic desire to win that Mahomes brings to this team are what will make him and his team Super Bowl Champions and Mahomes a Super Bowl MVP.

Chiefs Coach Andy Reid (14-14 in the playoffs all-time) will finally get his trophy and entrance to the Hall of Fame. A Coach who lost his only appearance in the big game with Philly, will soak in the Gatorade bath in the cool Miami night. I’d like to see them try to carry him off the field.

The Chiefs were down 24 points to Houston, never lost confidence and mounted a miraculous comeback in the Divisional Playoffs to win 51-31.
Mahomes threw for 5 TDs (3 of them to Travis Kelce).

In the AFC Championship, Mahomes was down 10-0 before completing that rally, throwing 3 TDs en route to a 35-24 victory over Tennessee. The unheralded KC defense stepped up and held the human bulldozer, Derek Henry to only 69 yards.

Maybe the SF defense holds an edge over Damian Williams and the KC rushing attack and maybe the SF running game (2nd in NFL) is expected to push around the Chiefs D-Line and control the game with first downs while burning the clock. Maybe.

KC is a pass-first offense and Mahomes scrambles to find the open receiver when he feels pressure. That means Travis Kelce, the premier TE in the league somehow finds a way to get open for a clutch 1st down.

The Niners secondary is fallible and that’s where the ultimate edge may lie.

Don’t forget to factor in the league’s fastest man, WR Tyreek Hill, who will stretch the Niner defense. If Richard Sherman knows what’s good for him, he’ll get help over the top and give Hill some room. Watch for Hill to take at least one deep.
I guess we’re not going too far out on a limb here but the thinking is for the game to be close, in the 20’s late and for Mahomes the Magician to engineer a drive in the last two minutes to bring the Lombardi trophy home to Kansas City for the first time in 50 years when Lenny Dawson beat Minnesota in Super Bowl IV. Andy Reid is off the hook and Mahomes gets his first Super Bowl and MVP!

Here are the BOZO wagers so far:

Very rarely do we see a spread as low as one point. Amazingly the Bozos have a future bet on KC at 7-1. Starting there we look for a slight hedge and tried to middle the game.

SF +7 ½ over 47 in a teaser (-120)

SF +3 ½ over 52 ½ in a parlay buying a point or two here and there (+150)

If KC wins by 3 or less and the 53 and over hits, we can cash these 2 tickets as well as the future bet if that happens.

Obviously hoping for and looking at a 30-27, 33-30 KC win!

For the props we have:

Defensive/ Special Teams TD (+225)

Both Mostert and D. Williams to score a TD (+250)

Kelce to score a TD (-105)

The team losing the 1st quarter wins the game (+500)

-Enjoy, HB!